next week there is a risk of a softer than expected retail sales report. Wholesale Sales m/m -0.1.1.1, aUD, cB Leading Index m/m.2.1, actual.2, forecast, previous.1, details. Steer signals the GBP is expensive and expectations for further Bank of England easing have now mostly unwound.
Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory
Hawkish comments from key members of the US Federal Reserve ahead of next Tuesdays start to the comment blackout period could easily move US front-end yields by several times that amount very quickly. Closer to 11 at the beginning of September 2015. As Chart 1 below shows, markets are currently not fully priced for policy change from any of the G10 central banks in the coming four months other than the Bank of Japan. However, our position metrics suggest that, despite rate markets pricing additional BOJ action, currency market participants have actually been positioned long yen, apparently sceptical that further BOJ easing would succeed in weakening the currency.
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